Sports betting are often very profitable if you know the strategies this “smart money” bettors make use of to consistently make income. One of the greatest secrets that wise money bettors use can be knowing when NOT for you to bet.
Here’s a great instance. I actually analyzed the Western world Florida vs. Louisville video game, and concluded of which West California had this edge in the game. However , I also realized that there have been a good deal of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not guess on that game. Here is our analysis I released just before the game:
West Florida or Louisville
This activity provides all the indicators of being one of the best games associated with the year, using each teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, having Rest of the world Virginia coming back from becoming down large in the 4th 1 / 4 to winning in overtime.
So what’s the sport appearance like this year?
In the event that this sport were appearing played in a fairly neutral field, West Florida would probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since the game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…
West Virginia will be on an unprecedented roll. Many people haven’t lost given that April. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they missing to California Tech. Inside the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their final 10 ROUTE games.
All these are some very impressive stats that tilt often the scales in favor connected with WVU for tonight’s games. Plus, the particular extra benefit is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This might not appear like significantly, but in a shut match-up like this, that more point can make the variation between a good push and even a loss.
But you may be wondering what concerning Louisville?
Louisville’s stats are really almost as good while WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their past 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is still 7-3 ATS within their previous 10 home video games.
Plus if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in your own home since Dec 18, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is averaging 49. 5 points for every game at your home, while hitting only stopping 15. 7 points per game from home. In case you decided not to do the math concepts, that means due to the fact their particular last home loss they also have averaged beating their opposing team by about 34 factors per game.
Even greater remarkable, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten typically the pass on, on average, simply by 13 things per video game at home since 2003.
Wow… how can a person go against that?
Nearly all of those stats ended up accumulated during the 2006 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to excellent than great. They’ve experienced recent games in which they already have only scored 28, 12, 24 points. These types of game titles weren’t against Kansas Saint. or Michigan. Many people were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.
The end result is that this is still some sort of close match to call. Although what I look regarding is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s simply no reason to think WVU can’t have one to often the low to core 20’s. My honest recommendation can be to lay off this particular game and not guess at all. There are usually better games this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut advantages.
The final score of the game was Louisville 46, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to return a punt for a new TD. The results was that West Virginia’s edge weren’t so big that they can may possibly still win right after generating so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this particular sport, people severe about gambling saved money many people can put to better use on approaching games.